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Southwest (LUV) news that moved the stock

Every market-moving story on Southwest (LUV) we've covered, newest first: what happened and where it came from. 4 so far.

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Thursday, October 22

▼ Negative LUV 5:52 AM ET Listen · Pro

Southwest slashes full-year 2026 earnings forecast on fuel-cost spike

What happened

Southwest Airlines sharply cut its full-year 2026 adjusted earnings forecast on Wednesday, citing a surge in fuel costs. The carrier now expects adjusted EPS of $2.60 to $2.85, down from its prior $3.25–$4.25 guidance range issued in July; the new midpoint sits below Wall Street's $2.85 consensus (LSEG). Southwest also guided Q4 earnings below Street expectations. Q3 fuel cost came in at $3.92/gal vs. the airline's $3.70–3.75 assumption, adding $821 million in fuel expense year over year — a $1.08 headwind to adjusted EPS in the quarter alone — and it projects Q4 fuel at ~$4.55/gal. The miss on costs overshadowed an otherwise solid quarter: adjusted Q3 EPS of 66 cents beat the 58-cent consensus, revenue hit a record $8.4 billion, and average fares jumped nearly 27%.

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Who’s affected & sources

Who’s affected

  • Southwest (LUV): direct guidance cut, Q4 EPS guide below Street
  • Airline sector (UAL, DAL, AAL): industry-wide fuel margin squeeze; United already flagged weak Q4 guidance Oct 21
  • Refiners (VLO, MPC): benefit from wide crack spreads and record diesel pricing
  • Travel/leisure demand read-through

Wednesday, October 21

◆ Mixed UALAALDALLUV 4:51 PM ET Listen · Pro

United Airlines jumps ~4% despite Q3 EPS miss and weak Q4 profit guidance as oil price pullback lifts airlines

What happened

United Airlines (UAL) reported third-quarter earnings of $2.54 per share on revenue of $18 billion for its third quarter, per Investor's Business Daily. Earnings missed Wall Street's target by 3 cents while sales were in line with estimates, as soaring fuel prices hurt profits during the quarter. The carrier's profit outlook for the current quarter came in at $1 per share at the midpoint, well below analyst targets of $1.64. Despite the miss and the soft guide, United shares got off to a poor start in early trade but then reversed and jumped nearly 4% as the price of oil receded during the session. The stock remained below its 50-day moving average.

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Who’s affected & sources

Who’s affected

  • United Airlines (UAL) — up ~4% despite miss; sector read-through for American (AAL), Delta (DAL) and Southwest (LUV), which face the same fuel-cost dynamics; refiners and jet-fuel suppliers conversely see margin pressure as crude eases.

Friday, October 9

Delta Air Lines misses Q3 estimates and slashes 2026 profit outlook on elevated fuel prices

What happened

Delta Air Lines reported Q3 results Friday morning that missed Wall Street estimates: EPS of $1.72 versus $1.77 expected, on revenue of $17.6 billion versus $17.7 billion expected, per IBD MarketSurge. The carrier also slashed its 2026 profit outlook, citing elevated fuel prices. Shares tumbled nearly 2% premarket. The report lands with crude still elevated after this week's U.S.-Iran shipping escalation, and with the 10-year Treasury yield back up to 5.26%.

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Who’s affected & sources

Who’s affected

  • Delta Air Lines (DAL): -2% premarket; EPS $1.72 vs $1.77 consensus, revenue $17.6B vs $17.7B; 2026 outlook cut on fuel costs.
  • United (UAL), American (AAL), Southwest (LUV), Alaska (ALK): fuel-cost squeeze applies sector-wide; Delta's cut likely pressures the whole group.
  • Refiners/crude (XLE, CVX, XOM): elevated crude (~$91.40 WTI) is the mechanism; any Iran-de-escalation move would reverse the pressure.

Monday, September 28

▼ Negative GELUVUAL 7:59 PM ET Listen · Pro

WSJ: Boeing identified 737 MAX software glitch that could cause automated navigation failure on landing; Boeing confirmed, FAA to convene Corrective Action Review Board, Southwest/United refused new deliveries with the flawed software; BA -6% Monday, leading Dow decliners

What happened

The Wall Street Journal reported Saturday, Sept. 26 that Boeing had identified a previously undisclosed 737 MAX software glitch that could cause an automated navigation feature to fail during landing. Boeing confirmed it: "Last month, we informed all 737 operators about a software issue where pilots may not have access to automated flight guidance during a specific landing scenario," adding engineers are working on a permanent software update. On Monday, Sept. 28, the FAA said it was aware of a potential issue in the flight-computer software update and "will convene a Corrective Action Review Board (CARB) and will take immediate action if it identifies a safety concern"; FAA Administrator Bryan Bedford separately said the agency "will be delaying the [MAX] 10 until we're satisfied that we don't have an issue here." Boeing shares fell 6.9% Monday to ~$184.29–$184.39 (a 10-month low, biggest fall since last October), leading Dow decliners.

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Who’s affected & sources

Who’s affected

  • BA (Boeing) — fell 6.9% Monday to ~$184.29–$184.39, a 10-month low and its biggest fall since last October; led Dow decliners; down ~14–15% year-to-date. GE Aerospace (GE) — fell 2.7% to $318.24 Monday
  • Barron's/Jefferies report GE developed the software, and GE said "Safety is our top priority... We are working closely with Boeing and will support the FAA's evaluation." Southwest (LUV) and United (UAL) — key MAX customers refusing deliveries with the flawed software. Boeing's entire MAX-10 backlog (1,500+ orders, core to projected 800+ deliveries in 2028 and ~$10B free cash flow) is exposed to certification delays.

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Summaries and audio are produced with AI from the linked sources and may contain errors. Not investment advice. Each item links to its sources.